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Guideline Guidelines for the diagnosis and management of osteoporosis in postmenopausal women and men from the age of 50 years in the UK. 2009
Compston J, Cooper A, Cooper C, Francis R, Kanis JA, Marsh D, McCloskey EV, Reid DM, Selby P, Wilkins M, Anonymous00031. · University of Cambridge School of Clinical Medicine, Department of Medicine, Cambridge, United Kingdom. · Maturitas. · Pubmed #19135323 No free full text.
Abstract: In 1999 and 2000 the Royal College of Physicians published guidelines for the prevention and treatment of osteoporosis [Royal College of Physicians. Osteoporosis: clinical guidelines for the prevention and treatment. London: Royal College of Physicians; 1999; Royal College of Physicians and Bone and Tooth Society of Great Britain. Update on pharmacological interventions and an algorithm for management. London, UK: Royal College of Physicians; 2000.; Royal College of Physicians. Glucocorticoid-induced osteoporosis. Guidelines on prevention and treatment; Bone and Tooth Society of Great Britain, National Osteoporosis Society and Royal College of Physicians. London, UK: Royal College of Physicians; 2002]. Since then, there have been significant advances in the field of osteoporosis including the development of new techniques for measuring bone mineral density, improved methods of assessing fracture risk and new treatments that have been shown to significantly reduce the risk of fractures. Against this background, the National Osteoporosis Guideline Group (NOGG), in collaboration with many Societies in the UK, have updated the original guidelines [Royal College of Physicians, National Osteoporosis Guideline Group on behalf of the Bone Research Society, British Geriatrics Society, British Orthopaedic Association, British Society of Rheumatology, National Osteoporosis Society, Osteoporosis 2000, Osteoporosis Dorset, Primary Care Rheumatology Society, Society for Endocrinology. Osteoporosis. Clinical guideline for prevention and treatment, Executive Summary. University of Sheffield Press; 2008], a practical summary of which is detailed below. The management algorithms are underpinned by a health economic analysis applied to the epidemiology of fracture in the UK.
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Guideline Guidance for the management of breast cancer treatment-induced bone loss: a consensus position statement from a UK Expert Group. 2008
Reid DM, Doughty J, Eastell R, Heys SD, Howell A, McCloskey EV, Powles T, Selby P, Coleman RE. · Department of Rheumatology, University of Aberdeen, United Kingdom. · Cancer Treat Rev. · Pubmed #18515009 No free full text.
Abstract: In postmenopausal women, the use of aromatase inhibitors increases bone turnover and induces bone loss at sites rich in trabecular bone at an average rate of 1-3% per year leading to an increase in fracture incidence compared to that seen during tamoxifen use. The bone loss is much more marked in young women with treatment-induced ovarian suppression followed by aromatase inhibitor therapy (average 7-8% per annum). Pre-treatment with tamoxifen for 2-5 years may reduce the clinical significance of the adverse bone effects associated with aromatase inhibitors, particularly if this leads to a shortening in the duration of exposure to an aromatase inhibitor. However, skeletal status should still be assessed at the commencement of aromatase inhibitor therapy. The rate of bone loss in women who experience a premature menopause before the age of 45 or are receiving ovarian suppression therapy is accelerated by the concomitant use of aromatase inhibitors. These patients are considered to be at high risk of clinically important bone loss and should have a baseline dual energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) assessment of bone mineral density (BMD). Randomised clinical trials in postmenopausal women indicate that bisphosphonates prevent the bone loss and accelerated bone turnover associated with aromatase inhibitor therapy and are a promising strategy for the prevention and treatment of osteoporosis in this setting. Treatment initiation recommendations are based on a combination of risk factors for osteoporotic fracture and BMD levels. Bisphosphonates, along with a healthy lifestyle and adequate intake of calcium and vitamin D are the treatments of choice to prevent bone loss. Due to the rate of bone loss associated with breast cancer treatments, and uncertainties about the interaction between aromatase inhibitor use and BMD for fracture risk, the threshold for intervention has been set at a higher level than that generally recommended for postmenopausal osteoporosis. Management recommendations have been summarised in two algorithms, one for women experiencing a premature menopause and the other for postmenopausal women requiring adjuvant aromatase inhibitor therapy.
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Review A reference standard for the description of osteoporosis. 2008
Kanis JA, McCloskey EV, Johansson H, Oden A, Melton LJ, Khaltaev N. · WHO Collaborating Centre for Metabolic Bone Diseases, University of Sheffield Medical School, UK. · Bone. · Pubmed #18180210 No free full text.
Abstract: In 1994, the World Health Organization published diagnostic criteria for osteoporosis. Since then, many new technologies have been developed for the measurement of bone mineral at multiple skeletal sites. The information provided by each assessment will describe the clinical characteristics, fracture risk and epidemiology of osteoporosis differently. Against this background, there is a need for a reference standard for describing osteoporosis. In the absence of a true gold standard, this paper proposes that the reference standard should be based on bone mineral density (BMD) measurement made at the femoral neck with dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA). This site has been the most extensively validated, and provides a gradient of fracture risk as high as or higher than that of many other techniques. The recommended reference range is the NHANES III reference database for femoral neck measurements in women aged 20-29 years. A similar cut-off value for femoral neck BMD that is used to define osteoporosis in women can be used for the diagnosis of osteoporosis in men - namely, a value for BMD 2.5 SD or more below the average for young adult women. The adoption of DXA as a reference standard provides a platform on which the performance characteristics of less well established and new methodologies can be compared.
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Review Glucocorticoid-induced osteoporosis: a systematic review and cost-utility analysis. free! 2007
Kanis JA, Stevenson M, McCloskey EV, Davis S, Lloyd-Jones M. · WHO Collaborating Centre for Metabolic Bone Diseases, University of Sheffield Medical School, UK. · Health Technol Assess. · Pubmed #17311734 links to free full text
Abstract: OBJECTIVES: To determine whether strategies can be devised for the assessment and treatment of glucocorticoid-induced osteoporosis (GIO). DATA SOURCES: Electronic databases were searched up to October 2002. REVIEW METHODS: A systematic review of interventions was undertaken of all randomised controlled trials in which fracture was measured as an outcome. Effectiveness was compared with effectiveness in postmenopausal osteoporosis. The risk of osteoporotic fractures at any given T-score for bone mineral density (BMD) was determined from published meta-analyses of the relationship between BMD and fracture risk. The risk of an osteoporotic fracture in the presence of a prior osteoporotic fracture was computed from a published meta-analysis of the relationship between the prior occurrence of fracture of each type and the risk of a future fracture of each type. The additional risk due to exposure to glucocorticoids was determined by meta-analysis of prospectively studied population-based cohorts. The consequences of fracture on mortality were assessed for each fracture type. Costs and utilities were determined for osteoporosis in the UK by updating systematic reviews of the literature. A model was prepared that comprised an individual patient-based approach that simulated whether or not events occurred in each subsequent year for each patient. Effectiveness was populated from a systematic review of interventions in GIO and postmenopausal osteoporosis. Treatments were given for 5 years using a 5-year offset time (in this context, offset time is the duration for which an effect on fracture persists after the treatment stops). The analytic framework was set at 10 years. Because of the many uncertainties, extensive sensitivity analysis was undertaken. RESULTS: Evidence of anti-fracture efficacy was confined to a minority of agents used in the management of GIO. Only risedronate (a bisphosphonate) and calcidiol (vitamin D) were shown to have significant effects on vertebral fracture risk, but neither had significant effects on non-vertebral fracture risk. In further meta-analyses, the effects of bisphosphonates in GIO were compared with effects combining all available data for bisphosphonates in GIO and in postmenopausal osteoporosis. Since calcidiol is not licensed for use in the UK, cost-effectiveness analysis was confined to risedronate and to a pooled bisphosphonate effect. Analysis of cost-effectiveness of risedronate using the empirical data in GIO showed better cost-effectiveness with increasing age, but at no age did cost-effectiveness ratios fall below the threshold value of 30,000 pounds per quality-adjusted life-year gained. When account was taken of BMD, cost-effectiveness was confined to less than 10% of patients with very low T-scores for BMD. Assuming that bisphosphonate efficacy on fracture risk was comparable to that observed with bisphosphonates in postmenopausal osteoporosis, cost-effectiveness was shown in patients with a prior fracture. In patients with no prior fracture, cost-effectiveness was observed in individuals aged 75 years or more. In younger patients without a prior fracture, cost-effective scenarios were found contingent upon a T-score for BMD that was 2.0 SD or less. CONCLUSIONS: Cost-effective scenarios for risedronate in the management of GIO were identified, but only at the extremes of age and T-score, such that less than 10% of patients aged 50 years or more would be eligible for treatment. Greater cost-effectiveness was observed assuming that the effects of bisphosphonate in GIO were similar to those observed in postmenopausal osteoporosis, an assumption tested by meta-analysis. An assessment algorithm is proposed based on age, the presence of a prior fragility fracture and BMD tests in individuals aged 50 years or more with no fracture. The conclusions derived are conservative, mainly because of the assumptions that were made in the absence of sufficient data. Thus, conclusions that treatment scenarios are cost-effective are reasonably secure. By contrast, scenarios shown not to be cost-effective are less secure. As information in these areas becomes available, the implications for cost-effectiveness of interventions should be reappraised. Health economic assessment based on probability of fracture is an important area for further research. Other areas for further research arise from gaps in empirical knowledge on utilities and side-effects that are amenable to primary research. Further secondary research is recommended to evaluate more closely the impact of all vertebral fractures (rather than clinically overt vertebral fractures) on cost-effectiveness and methods of monitoring treatment.
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Review Body mass index as a predictor of fracture risk: a meta-analysis. 2005
De Laet C, Kanis JA, Odén A, Johanson H, Johnell O, Delmas P, Eisman JA, Kroger H, Fujiwara S, Garnero P, McCloskey EV, Mellstrom D, Melton LJ, Meunier PJ, Pols HA, Reeve J, Silman A, Tenenhouse A. · Scientific Institute of Public Health, Brussels, Belgium. · Osteoporos Int. · Pubmed #15928804 No free full text.
Abstract: Low body mass index (BMI) is a well-documented risk factor for future fracture. The aim of this study was to quantify this effect and to explore the association of BMI with fracture risk in relation to age, gender and bone mineral density (BMD) from an international perspective using worldwide data. We studied individual participant data from almost 60,000 men and women from 12 prospective population-based cohorts comprising Rotterdam, EVOS/EPOS, CaMos, Rochester, Sheffield, Dubbo, EPIDOS, OFELY, Kuopio, Hiroshima, and two cohorts from Gothenburg, with a total follow-up of over 250,000 person years. The effects of BMI, BMD, age and gender on the risk of any fracture, any osteoporotic fracture, and hip fracture alone was examined using a Poisson regression model in each cohort separately. The results of the different studies were then merged. Without information on BMD, the age-adjusted risk for any type of fracture increased significantly with lower BMI. Overall, the risk ratio (RR) per unit higher BMI was 0.98 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.97-0.99) for any fracture, 0.97 (95% CI, 0.96-0.98) for osteoporotic fracture and 0.93 (95% CI, 0.91-0.94) for hip fracture (all p <0.001). The RR per unit change in BMI was very similar in men and women ( p >0.30). After adjusting for BMD, these RR became 1 for any fracture or osteoporotic fracture and 0.98 for hip fracture (significant in women). The gradient of fracture risk without adjustment for BMD was not linearly distributed across values for BMI. Instead, the contribution to fracture risk was much more marked at low values of BMI than at values above the median. This nonlinear relation of risk with BMI was most evident for hip fracture risk. When compared with a BMI of 25 kg/m(2), a BMI of 20 kg/m(2) was associated with a nearly twofold increase in risk ratio (RR=1.95; 95% CI, 1.71-2.22) for hip fracture. In contrast, a BMI of 30 kg/m(2), when compared with a BMI of 25 kg/m(2), was associated with only a 17% reduction in hip fracture risk (RR=0.83; 95% CI, 0.69-0.99). We conclude that low BMI confers a risk of substantial importance for all fractures that is largely independent of age and sex, but dependent on BMD. The significance of BMI as a risk factor varies according to the level of BMI. Its validation on an international basis permits the use of this risk factor in case-finding strategies.
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Review Clinical assessment of bone mass, quality and architecture. 1999
Kanis JA, McCloskey EV, de Takats D, Pande K. · WHO Collaborating Centre for Bone Diseases, University of Sheffield Medical School, Sheffield, UK. · Osteoporos Int. · Pubmed #10525722 No free full text.
This publication has no abstract.
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Clinical Conference Bazedoxifene reduces vertebral and clinical fractures in postmenopausal women at high risk assessed with FRAX. 2009
Kanis JA, Johansson H, Oden A, McCloskey EV. · WHO Collaborating Centre for Metabolic Bone Diseases, University of Sheffield, Beech Hill Road, Sheffield S10 2RX, UK. · Bone. · Pubmed #19254788 No free full text.
Abstract: INTRODUCTION: Bazedoxifene has been shown to significantly decrease the risk of vertebral fractures in postmenopausal women. No significant effect was noted on the risk of clinical fractures, but fracture risk reduction was reported in a post hoc subgroup analysis in a high risk group categorised on the basis of BMD and prior fracture. AIMS: The aim of this study was to re-evaluate the efficacy of bazedoxifene on fracture outcomes avoiding subgroup analysis by examining the efficacy of intervention as a function of fracture risk. METHODS: The phase III study was a double-blind, randomised, placebo- and raloxifene-controlled randomised 3-year multinational study that enrolled 7492 osteoporotic women aged 55 years or more (mean age=66 years). For the present analysis, women taking raloxifene were excluded (n=1849), and we compared the effects of two doses of bazedoxifene (20 and 40 mg daily combined) with placebo on the risk of all clinical fractures as well as the risk of morphometric vertebral fracture. The risk of a major osteoporotic fracture was assessed using region specific FRAX algorithms, and the relationship between pre hoc 10-year fracture probabilities and efficacy examined by Poisson regression. RESULTS: Overall, bazedoxifene was associated with a significant 39% decrease in incident morphometric vertebral fractures (hazard ratio HR=0.61; 95% CI=0.43-0.86; p=0.005) and a non-statistically significant 16% decrease in all clinical fractures (hazard ratio HR=0.84; 95% CI=0.67-1.06; p=0.14) compared to placebo. Hazard ratios for the effect of bazedoxifene on all clinical fractures decreased with increasing fracture probability. In patients with 10-year fracture probabilities at or above 16%, bazedoxifene was associated with a significant decrease in the risk of all clinical fractures. The 16% probability threshold corresponded to the 80th percentile of the study population. Hazard ratios for the effect of bazedoxifene on morphometric vertebral fractures also decreased with increasing fracture probability. In patients with 10-year fracture probabilities above 6.9% (corresponding to the 41st percentile), bazedoxifene was associated with a significant decrease in the risk of morphometric vertebral fractures. At equivalent fracture probability percentiles, the treatment effect of bazedoxifene was greater on vertebral fracture risk than on the risk of all clinical fractures. For example, at the 90th percentile of FRAX probability, bazedoxifene was associated with a relative risk reduction of 33% (95% CI=7-51%) for all clinical fractures and 51% reduction (95% CI=21-69%) for morphometric vertebral fractures. The findings were robust to several sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSION: Bazedoxifene (20 and 40 mg doses combined) significantly decreased the risk of all clinical fractures and morphometric vertebral fractures in women at or above a FRAX based fracture probability threshold. These results, consistent with the previous subgroup analysis, suggest that bazedoxifene should be targeted preferentially to women at high fracture risk.
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Clinical Conference The effect of intranasal salmon calcitonin therapy on bone mineral density in idiopathic male osteoporosis without vertebral fractures--an open label study. 2005
Tóth E, Csupor E, Mészáros S, Ferencz V, Németh L, McCloskey EV, Horváth C. · Department of Rheumatology, Flór Ferenc Country Hospital, Kistarcsa, H-2143, Hungary. · Bone. · Pubmed #15664001 No free full text.
Abstract: The aim of this study was to examine the effect of intranasal salmon calcitonin therapy on bone mineral density (BMD) in idiopathic male osteoporosis without vertebral fractures. We conducted a randomized, open label, controlled trial in 71 male patients (mean age 59 +/- 6 years) suffering from idiopathic osteoporosis (femoral neck T-score < -2.5) without vertebral deformity. Patients in the control group (n = 31) received 400 IU Vitamin D + 1000 mg elemental calcium daily while the treatment group (n = 40) received 400 IU Vitamin D, 1000 mg elemental calcium plus 200 IU calcitonin nasal spray daily during alternate months. The study period was 18 months. Compared to controls, nasal calcitonin was associated with significant increases in bone mineral density at the lumbar spine (+3.5 +/- (-4.3%) vs. +0.83 +/- 6.4%, P = 0.04) and the femoral neck (+3.2 +/- 3.9% vs. +0.68 +/- 5.7%, P = 0.004). No significant difference was observed at the radius between the treatment groups (+1.4 +/- 8.8% vs. +1.4 +/- 10.9%, P = 0.98). Treatment was well tolerated with no premature discontinuations or significant side effects compared to the control group. We conclude that 200 IU salmon calcitonin nasal spray used daily, intermittently proved to be an effective and safe therapy in male idiopathic osteoporosis.
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Clinical Conference Daily oral pamidronate in women and men with osteoporosis: a 3-year randomized placebo-controlled clinical trial with a 2-year open extension. 2002
Brumsen C, Papapoulos SE, Lips P, Geelhoed-Duijvestijn PH, Hamdy NA, Landman JO, McCloskey EV, Netelenbos JC, Pauwels EK, Roos JC, Valentijn RM, Zwinderman AH. · Department of Endocrinology and Metabolic Diseases, Leiden University Medical Center, The Netherlands. · J Bone Miner Res. · Pubmed #12054161 No free full text.
Abstract: The efficacy and safety of oral pamidronate was examined in a double-blind, placebo-controlled trial in women and men with established osteoporosis. Seventy-eight postmenopausal women and 23 men with at least one prevalent vertebral fracture were randomized separately to 150 mg/day of pamidronate or placebo for 3 years followed by 150 mg/day of pamidronate for an additional 2 years. In addition, all patients received 400 U/day of cholecalciferol and 500 mg/day of elemental calcium. Pamidronate increased significantly bone mineral density of the lumbar spine (LS-BMD) and of the femoral neck (FN-BMD). The total increase in BMD of the spine after 5 years of treatment was 14.3%. Lateral spine radiographs were obtained at baseline and after 3 years of treatment. Fractures of previously normal vertebrae occurred in 15 of 45 patients treated with placebo (33.3%) and in 5 of 46 patients treated with pamidronate (11%). The relative risk was 0.33 (95% CI, 0.14-0.77). Treatment was well tolerated and there was no difference in gastrointestinal toxicity between pamidronate and placebo-treated patients. One hundred fifty milligrams daily of pamidronate is an effective and safe treatment of women and men with established osteoporosis.
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Clinical Conference Is a calculated total hip BMD of clinical use? 2000
Selby PL, McCloskey EV, Robinson J, Smith IG, Potts B, Beneton MN, Kanis JA. · Musculoskeletal Research Group, University of Manchester, UK. · Osteoporos Int. · Pubmed #10928228 No free full text.
Abstract: The diagnosis of osteoporosis is based on bone mass measurement. To avoid the errors associated with the measurement of spinal bone density the total hip has been accepted as the standard measurement site. This information is not available for many early measurements. We have assessed whether it is possible to derive clinically useful information about total hip bone mineral density (BMD) from measurements at other hip sites. The bone mass measurements of 46 patients participating in a current trial of therapy for osteoporosis were reviewed. The total hip BMD as directly measured was compared with that obtained from the formula: Total hip BMD = 0.48 x Neck BMD + 0.62 x Trochanteric BMD + 0.03. In 30 patients with follow-up data the rate of change in hip BMD over a year was also determined by both methods. In the pretreatment state there was good agreement between the two measures (r2 = 0.96, SEE 0.012 g/cm2). If the formula was used to compute a change in total hip BMD, the agreement between both methods remained good. However, the standard error of the estimate of the change represented 59% of the observed change. This indicates that the error associated with this estimate is too great to allow clinically meaningful conclusions to be drawn from calculated total hip BMD. We conclude that, whilst it may be possible to obtain reasonable point estimates of total hip BMD from other measures in the hip, these estimates are too imprecise to allow conclusions about change in BMD to be made.
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Clinical Conference A high incidence of vertebral fracture in women with breast cancer. 1999
Kanis JA, McCloskey EV, Powles T, Paterson AH, Ashley S, Spector T. · WHO Collaborating Centre for Metabolic Bone Diseases, University of Sheffield Medical School, UK. · Br J Cancer. · Pubmed #10098755 No free full text.
Abstract: Because treatment for breast cancer may adversely affect skeletal metabolism, we investigated vertebral fracture risk in women with non-metastatic breast cancer. The prevalence of vertebral fracture was similar in women at the time of first diagnosis to that in an age-matched sample of the general population. The incidence of vertebral fracture, however, was nearly five times greater than normal in women from the time of first diagnosis [odds ratio (OR), 4.7; 95% confidence interval (95% CI), 2.3-9.9], and 20-fold higher in women with soft-tissue metastases without evidence of skeletal metastases (OR, 22.7; 95% CI, 9.1-57.1). We conclude that vertebral fracture risk is markedly increased in women with breast cancer.
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Article Ten-year fracture probability identifies women who will benefit from clodronate therapy--additional results from a double-blind, placebo-controlled randomised study. 2009
McCloskey EV, Johansson H, Oden A, Vasireddy S, Kayan K, Pande K, Jalava T, Kanis JA. · WHO Collaborating Centre for Metabolic Bone Diseases, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK. · Osteoporos Int. · Pubmed #19002369 No free full text.
Abstract: Fracture risk prediction can be enhanced by the concurrent assessment of other clinical risk factors. This study demonstrates that the estimation of an individual's 10-year probability of fracture by the FRAX algorithm identifies patients at high risk of fracture who will respond to bisphosphonate therapy. INTRODUCTION: Treatments for osteoporosis are targeted largely to patients with low bone density (BMD) or a prior fragility fracture. Fracture risk prediction can be enhanced by the concurrent assessment of other clinical risk factors, but it is important to determine whether the risk so identified can be reduced by intervention. We determined the effect of a bisphosphonate on fracture rates when risk was calculated using a new risk algorithm (FRAX). METHODS: Women aged 75 years or more were recruited to a randomised, double-blind controlled trial of 800 mg oral clodronate (Bonefos) daily over 3 years. Baseline clinical risk factors were entered in the FRAX model to compute the 10-year probability of major osteoporotic fractures with or without input of femoral neck BMD. The interaction between fracture probability and treatment efficacy was examined by Poisson regression. RESULTS: In 3,974 women, the interaction between fracture probability and treatment efficacy was significant when probability was assessed without BMD (p = 0.043), but not when BMD was included (p = 0.10). Efficacy was more evident in those deemed at highest risk. For example women lying at the 75th percentile of fracture probability in the absence of BMD (10-year probability 24%) treatment reduced fracture risk by 27% (HR 0.73, 95%CI 0.58-0.92). In those with a fracture probability of 30% (90th percentile), the fracture risk reduction was 38% (HR 0.62, 0.46-0.84). CONCLUSIONS: The estimation of an individual's 10-year probability of fracture by the FRAX algorithm identifies patients at high risk of fracture who will respond to bisphosphonate therapy.
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Article Case finding for the management of osteoporosis with FRAX--assessment and intervention thresholds for the UK. 2008
Kanis JA, McCloskey EV, Johansson H, Strom O, Borgstrom F, Oden A, Anonymous00072. · WHO Collaborating Centre for Metabolic Bone Diseases, University of Sheffield Medical School, Beech Hill Road, Sheffield, S10 2RX, UK. · Osteoporos Int. · Pubmed #18751937 No free full text.
Abstract: SUMMARY: Assessment and intervention thresholds are developed and proposed in men aged over 50 years and postmenopausal women for the UK based on fracture probability from the WHO fracture risk assessment tool (FRAX). INTRODUCTION: The FRAX tool has recently become available to compute the 10-year probability of fractures in men and women from clinical risk factors (CRFs) with or without the measurement of femoral neck bone mineral density (BMD). The aim of this study was to develop a case-finding strategy for men and women from the UK at high risk of osteoporotic fracture by delineating the fracture probabilities at which BMD testing or intervention should be recommended. METHODS: Fracture probabilities were computed using the FRAX tool calibrated to the epidemiology of fracture and death in the UK. The relationship between cost effectiveness and fracture probability used the source data from a prior publication that examined the cost effectiveness of generic alendronate in the UK. An intervention threshold was set by age in men and women, based on the fracture probability equivalent to that of women with a history of a prior osteoporosis related fracture. In addition, assessment thresholds for the use of BMD testing were explored. Assessment thresholds for the measurement of BMD followed current practice guidelines where individuals were considered to be eligible for assessment in the presence of one or more CRF. An upper assessment threshold (i.e. a fracture probability above which patients could be treated without recourse to BMD) was based on optimisation of the positive predictive value of the assessment tool. The consequences of assessment and intervention thresholds on the requirement for BMD test and interventions were assessed using the distribution of clinical risk factors and femoral neck BMD for women in the source cohorts used for the development of the FRAX models RESULTS: Treatment was cost effective at all ages when the 10-year probability of a major fracture exceeded 7%. The intervention threshold at the age of 50 years corresponded to a 10-year probability of a major osteoporotic fracture of 7.5%. This rose progressively with age to 30% at the age of 80 years, so that intervention was cost effective at all ages. Assessment thresholds for testing with BMD (6-9% at the age of 50 years) also rose with age (18-36% at the age of 80 years). The use of these thresholds in a case-finding strategy would identify 6-20% of women as eligible for BMD testing and 23-46% as eligible for treatment, depending on age. The same threshold can be used in men. CONCLUSION: The study provides a method of developing management algorithms for osteoporosis from the estimation of fracture probabilities, rather than those based on BMD alone or BMD with single or multiple CRFs.
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Article Shape, structural properties, and cortical stability along the femoral neck: a study using clinical QCT. 2008
Yang L, Maric I, McCloskey EV, Eastell R. · School of Medicine and Biomedical Sciences, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK. · J Clin Densitom. · Pubmed #18550404 No free full text.
Abstract: This study used clinical quantitative computer tomography (QCT) to obtain detailed estimates of the structural properties and cortical dimensions of cross-sections (CSs) along the femoral neck (FN). The computer tomography scans of both proximal femora of 27 postmenopausal women (mean age 81, range 65-86yr) with osteoporosis were processed and analyzed. The cross-sectional shape, cortical and trabecular bone area, and section moduli under different fall directions were calculated. Furthermore, each CS was divided into 8 sectors and cortical thickness and buckling ratio were estimated for each octant. The cross-sectional shape was found to be increasingly elliptic and both tensile and compressive section moduli increased significantly (by a factor of up to 1.8) from the proximal to distal half of the FN. The section modulus was dependent on the fall direction; it was maximal when falling 20 degrees anterior and at its lowest (reduced by as much as 37%) when falling 50 degrees posterior on the greater trochanter. The cortex was significantly thinner (< or =1mm) in the anterior, superoanterior, superior, superoposterior, and posterior octants than the inferomedial aspect of the FN. In conclusion, multiple site measurements are required for a comprehensive assessment of FN structural properties, which can be studied based on clinical QCT.
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Article Vertebral fracture assessment (VFA) with a densitometer predicts future fractures in elderly women unselected for osteoporosis. 2008
McCloskey EV, Vasireddy S, Threlkeld J, Eastaugh J, Parry A, Bonnet N, Beneton M, Kanis JA, Charlesworth D. · WHO Collaborating Centre for Metabolic Bone Diseases, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, United Kingdom. · J Bone Miner Res. · Pubmed #18505372 No free full text.
Abstract: Low radiation dose imaging of the lateral spine acquired with a bone densitometer for vertebral fracture assessment (VFA) has great potential for clinical use. We have undertaken an evaluation of VFA in a prospective population cohort of elderly women to examine the prevalence of vertebral fractures, their ability to predict incident fractures, and their use in targeting therapy. Women (n = 5157) >or=75 yr of age living in the general community in the United Kingdom underwent posteroanterior and lateral imaging of the spine (T(4)-L(4)) with a densitometer (Hologic QDR4500A) at entry to a randomized, double-blind, controlled trial of 800 mg oral clodronate (Bonefos) or matching placebo daily over 3 yr. The women were identified from general practice registers and recruited by letter of invitation regardless of skeletal status. The proportion of vertebrae interpretable varied from 98.2% at T(12) to 57.1% at T(4), with >92% interpretable at levels between T(8) and L(3). As judged by BMD at the total hip, 19.6% of the women had osteoporosis, and the prevalence of vertebral fracture was 14.5%. Women with one or more vertebral fractures had a relative risk (RR) for incident osteoporotic fractures of 2.01 (95% CI, 1.64-2.47). The RR for hip fractures was 2.29 (95% CI, 1.63-3.21). After adjustment for age, femoral neck BMD, weight, and treatment, the RR was 1.50 (95% CI, 1.21-1.86) for osteoporotic fractures, with similar results for hip fractures (RR, 1.41; 95% CI, 0.99-2.02). For women with two or more vertebral fractures, the adjusted RRs were 1.97 (95% CI, 1.24-2.72) and 1.86 (95% CI, 1.14-3.03) for osteoporotic and hip fractures, respectively. We conclude that VFA can frequently detect vertebral fractures in a population cohort of elderly women. These fractures, like radiographic fractures, predict future clinical fractures independent of age, weight, and BMD. Having multiple vertebral fractures was associated with greater risk of incident osteoporotic fractures and hip fractures.
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Article Effects of two years of daily teriparatide treatment on BMD in postmenopausal women with severe osteoporosis with and without prior antiresorptive treatment. 2008
Obermayer-Pietsch BM, Marin F, McCloskey EV, Hadji P, Farrerons J, Boonen S, Audran M, Barker C, Anastasilakis AD, Fraser WD, Nickelsen T, Anonymous00011. · Klinische Abteilung Endokrinologie/Nuklearmedizin, Universitätsklinik für Innere Medizin, Medizinische Universität, Graz, Austria. · J Bone Miner Res. · Pubmed #18505369 No free full text.
Abstract: Previous antiresorptive (AR) treatment may influence the response to teriparatide. We examined BMD response and safety in a subgroup of 503 postmenopausal women with osteoporosis who received teriparatide for 24 mo. Patients were divided into three groups based on their prior AR treatment: treatment-naïve (n = 84); pretreated with no evidence of inadequate treatment response (n = 134); and pretreated showing an inadequate response to AR treatment (n = 285), which was predefined based on the occurrence of fractures, persistent low BMD, and/or significant BMD loss while on therapy. Changes in BMD from baseline were analyzed using mixed model repeated measures. Lumbar spine BMD increased significantly from baseline at 6, 12, 18, and 24 mo in all three groups. The mean gain in spine BMD over 24 mo was greater in the treatment-naïve group (0.095 g/cm(2); 13.1%) than in the AR pretreated (0.074 g/cm(2); 10.2%; p < 0.005) and inadequate AR responder (0.071 g/cm(2); 9.8%; p < 0.001) groups. The corresponding increases in total hip BMD were 3.8%, 2.3%, and 2.3%, respectively. Early decreases in hip BMD in the inadequate AR responder group were reversed by 18 mo of treatment. Increases in BMD between 18 and 24 mo were highly significant. Nausea (13.3%) and arthralgia (11.7%) were the most commonly reported adverse events. Asymptomatic hypercalcemia was reported in 5.0% of patients. Teriparatide treatment for 24 mo is associated with a significant increase in BMD in patients with and without previous AR use. Prior AR treatment modestly blunted the BMD response to teriparatide. Safety was consistent with current prescribing label information.
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Article Effects of previous antiresorptive therapy on the bone mineral density response to two years of teriparatide treatment in postmenopausal women with osteoporosis. free! 2008
Boonen S, Marin F, Obermayer-Pietsch B, Simões ME, Barker C, Glass EV, Hadji P, Lyritis G, Oertel H, Nickelsen T, McCloskey EV, Anonymous00301. · Leuven University Center for Metabolic Bone Diseases and Division of Geriatric Medicine, Universitaire Ziekenhuizen, K. U. Leuven, Herestraat 49, B-3000 Leuven, Belgium. · J Clin Endocrinol Metab. · Pubmed #18160462 links to free full text
Abstract: INTRODUCTION: EUROFORS was a 2-yr prospective, randomized trial of postmenopausal women with established osteoporosis, designed to investigate various sequential treatments after teriparatide 20 microg/d for 1 yr. The present secondary analysis examined the effects of 2 yr of open-label teriparatide in women previously treated with antiresorptive drugs for at least 1 yr. METHODS: A subgroup of 245 women with osteoporosis who had 2 yr of teriparatide treatment were stratified by previous predominant antiresorptive treatment into four groups: alendronate (n=107), risedronate (n=59), etidronate (n=30), and non-bisphosphonate (n=49). Bone mineral density (BMD) at the lumbar spine and hip was determined after 6, 12, 18, and 24 months, and bone formation markers were measured after 1 and 6 months. RESULTS: Significant increases in bone formation markers occurred in all groups after 1 month of teriparatide treatment. Lumbar spine BMD increased at all visits, whereas a transient decrease in hip BMD, which was subsequently reversed, was observed in all groups. BMD responses were similar in all previous antiresorptive groups. Previous etidronate users showed a higher increase at the spine but not at the hip BMD. Duration of previous antiresorptive therapy and lag time between stopping previous therapy and starting teriparatide did not affect the BMD response at any skeletal site. Treatment-emergent adverse events were similar to those reported in treatment-naive postmenopausal women with osteoporosis treated with teriparatide. CONCLUSIONS: Teriparatide induces positive effects on BMD and markers of bone formation in postmenopausal women with established osteoporosis, regardless of previous long-term exposure to antiresorptive therapies.
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Article Clodronate reduces the incidence of fractures in community-dwelling elderly women unselected for osteoporosis: results of a double-blind, placebo-controlled randomized study. 2007
McCloskey EV, Beneton M, Charlesworth D, Kayan K, deTakats D, Dey A, Orgee J, Ashford R, Forster M, Cliffe J, Kersh L, Brazier J, Nichol J, Aropuu S, Jalava T, Kanis JA. · Northern General Hospital, Sheffield, UK. · J Bone Miner Res. · Pubmed #17042717 No free full text.
Abstract: A 3-year prospective, randomized, placebo-controlled trial of oral clodronate 800 mg showed that the incidence of clinical fractures was decreased by 20% in 5596 elderly women unselected for osteoporosis. The effect occurred in the absence of systematic calcium and vitamin D supplementation and was observed across a wide range of BMDs. INTRODUCTION: To date, most studies with bisphosphonates have reported on their use in individuals selected to be at high risk for fracture usually by the presence of low BMD or a prior fragility fracture, usually of the spine. We wished to determine the effect of the bisphosphonate, clodronate, on the rate of fractures in women > or =75 years of age living in the community. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Women > or =75 years of age living in the general community in South Yorkshire and North Derbyshire, identified from general practice registers, were recruited by letter of invitation to a randomized, double-blind, controlled trial of 800 mg oral clodronate (Bonefos) or matching placebo daily over 3 years. The main outcomes were the incidences of hip and any clinical fracture. RESULTS: Of the 5579 elderly women included in the intention-to-treat analysis of efficacy, 114 had a new hip fracture during the 3-year treatment phase: 56 (2.0%) women in the clodronate group and 58 (2.1%) women in the placebo group (hazard ration [HR], 1.02; 95% CI, 0.71-1.47). Clodronate did, however, decrease the incidence of any clinical fracture by 20% (264 women [9.5%] versus 337 [12.1%] in the placebo group; HR, 0.80; 95% CI, 0.68-0.94). The incidence of osteoporosis-associated nonhip fractures was also significantly decreased by 29% (5.2% versus 7.4%; HR, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.57-0.87). The ability of clodronate to reduce the risk of osteoporotic fracture was independent of baseline BMD, but the number needed-to-treat was lower in the presence of osteoporosis. CONCLUSIONS: Oral daily clodronate can prevent fractures without significant adverse effects in elderly women living in the general community. The effect on hip fracture risk is not significant, but an effect similar to that at other nonvertebral sites cannot be excluded. This study suggests that antiresorptive therapies can reduce fracture incidence in high-risk individuals even in the presence of a normal or osteopenic BMD.
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Article Use of clinical risk factors to identify postmenopausal women with vertebral fractures. 2007
Tobias JH, Hutchinson AP, Hunt LP, McCloskey EV, Stone MD, Martin JC, Thompson PW, Palferman TG, Bhalla AK. · Department of Clinical Science at South Bristol, University of Bristol, Bristol, BS2 8HW, UK. · Osteoporos Int. · Pubmed #16951907 No free full text.
Abstract: INTRODUCTION AND HYPOTHESIS: Previous studies have been unable to identify risk factors for prevalent vertebral fractures (VF), which are suitable for use in selection strategies intended to target high-risk sub-groups for diagnostic assessment. However, these studies generally consisted of large epidemiology surveys based on questionnaires and were only able to evaluate a limited number of risk factors. Here, we investigated whether a stronger relationship exists with prevalent VF when conventional risk factors are combined with additional information obtained from detailed one-to-one assessment. METHODS: Women aged 65-75 registered at four geographically distinct GP practices were invited to participate (n=1,518), of whom 540 attended for assessment as follows: a questionnaire asking about risk factors for osteoporosis such as height loss compared to age 25 and history of non-vertebral fracture (NVF), the get-up-and-go test, Margolis back pain score, measurement of wall-tragus and rib-pelvis distances, and BMD as measured by the distal forearm BMD. A lateral thoraco-lumbar spine X-ray was obtained, which was subsequently scored for the presence of significant vertebral deformities. RESULTS: Of the 509 subjects who underwent spinal radiographs, 37 (7.3%) were found to have one or more VF. Following logistic regression analysis, the four most predictive clinical risk factors for prevalent VF were: height loss (P=0.006), past NVF (P=0.004), history of back pain (P=0.075) and age (P=0.05). BMD was also significantly associated with prevalent VF (P=0.002), but its inclusion did not affect associations with other variables. Factors elicited from detailed one-to-one assessment were not related to the risk of one or more prevalent VFs. The area under ROC curves derived from these regressions, which suggested that models for prevalent VF had modest predictive accuracy, were as follows: 0.68 (BMD), 0.74 (four clinical risk factors above) and 0.78 (clinical risk factors + BMD). Analyses were repeated in relation to the subgroup of 13 patients with two or more VFs, which revealed that in this instance, the Margolis back pain score and rib-pelvis distance were associated with the presence of multiple VFs (P=0.022 and 0.026, respectively). Moreover, the predictive value as reflected by the ROC curve area was improved: 0.80 (BMD), 0.88 (the four most predictive clinical risk factors consisting of the height loss, past NVF, Margolis back pain score and rib-pelvis distance) and 0.91 (clinical risk factors + BMD). CONCLUSIONS: Evaluation of additional risk factors from detailed one-to-one assessment does not improve the predictive value of risk factors for one or more prevalent vertebral deformities in postmenopausal women. However, the use of factors such as the Margolis back pain score and rib-pelvis distance may be helpful in identifying postmenopausal women at high risk of multiple prevalent VFs.
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Article Ileum resection is the most predictive factor for osteoporosis in patients with Crohn's disease. 2006
van Hogezand RA, Bänffer D, Zwinderman AH, McCloskey EV, Griffioen G, Hamdy NA. · Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, The Netherlands. · Osteoporos Int. · Pubmed #16392028 No free full text.
Abstract: INTRODUCTION: Crohn's disease is associated with a host of factors potentially increasing the risk for osteoporosis and fractures. The aim of our study was to identify the most predictive factors for skeletal pathology in this patients. METHODS: Using a cross-sectional study design, 146 randomly selected patients with Crohn's disease of variable disease activity who were given standard therapy to control disease activity, including glucocorticoids, and who attended the outpatient clinic of the Gastroenterology Unit on regular follow-up visits were studied. Bone mineral density (BMD) measurements and lateral X-rays of the spine were performed, and biochemical parameters of bone turnover, gonadal hormones and C-reactive protein (CRP) as markers of disease activity were measured in all patients. RESULTS: There were 61 men and 85 women, with a mean age of 43 years and mean disease duration of 20 years. The majority of patients (86%) had been treated with glucocorticoids at some stage during their illness at a median dose of 7.5 mg/day, 43% were currently using these agents and 66% had undergone an intestinal resection. Twenty-one percent of patients had below-normal 25-hydroxy vitamin D levels. Osteoporosis was documented in 26% of patients, predominantly at the femoral neck, but also at the lumbar spine or at both sites; osteopenia was documented in 45% of patients. Prevalence of vertebral and non-vertebral fractures was, respectively, 6% and 12%. Ileum resection was the most predictive factor for osteoporosis: RR 3.84 (CI 1.24-9.77, p=0.018), followed by age: RR 1.05 (CI 1.02-1.08, p<0.001) and current or past glucocorticoid use: RR 1.94 (CI 0.92-4.10, p=0.08). CONCLUSION: Our data suggest that in patients with Crohn's disease, the risk of osteoporosis is best predicted by a history of ileum resection.
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Article Modified calcaneal index: a new screening tool for osteoporosis based on plain radiographs of the calcaneum. free! 2005
Pande KC, Pande SK, de Takats D, McCloskey EV. · Sushrut Hospital, Research Centre and PGI Orthopaedics, Ramdaspeth, Nagpur, India. · J Orthop Surg (Hong Kong). · Pubmed #15872397 links to free full text
Abstract: PURPOSES: To assess osteoporosis using plain radiography of the calcaneum by studying the performance characteristics of the modified calcaneal index through inter- and intra-observer agreement. To study the correlation of the modified calcaneal index to quantitative ultrasound of the calcaneus and bone mineral density (BMD) of the femoral neck and distal radius. METHODS: Lateral calcaneal radiographs of 252 women who participated in a clinical trial for osteoporosis were reviewed. The BMD of the hip and distal radius was measured and the calcanea were assessed using ultrasound. The calcaneal radiographs were graded by 3 clinicians according to a previously described 5-grade calcaneal index. A modified 3-grade calcaneal index was then developed. RESULTS: The highest scores of intra- and inter-observer reliability of the modified calcaneal index were 0.45 and 0.40, respectively, which were higher than those of the 5-grade calcaneal index. The correlation of the modified calcaneal index with other measures was significant (hip BMD, r=0.31; distal radius BMD, r=0.28; calcaneal speed of sound, r=0.20; broadband ultrasound attenuation, r=0.36) [p<0.005]. There were significant differences in hip BMD, distal radial BMD, calcaneal speed of sound, and broadband ultrasound attenuation between the 3 grades of the modified calcaneal index (Kruskal-Wallis 1-way ANOVA; p<0.0001). CONCLUSION: The modified calcaneal index can be used to measure bone structure and skeletal strength and is a suitable screening tool for osteoporosis in places where advanced approaches to bone-status assessment are not available.
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Article Case-finding for adult celiac disease in patients with reduced bone mineral density. 2005
Sanders DS, Patel D, Khan FB, Westbrook RH, Webber CV, Milford-Ward A, McCloskey EV. · Royal Hallamshire Hospital, Sheffield, UK. · Dig Dis Sci. · Pubmed #15810647 No free full text.
Abstract: The aim of this study was to assess the value of case-finding for unrecognized adult celiac disease (CD) in patients with reduced bone mineral density (BMD), verified by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA). Patients attending for a DXA scan were investigated for CD using immunoglobulins, IgG/IgA antigliadin antibodies (AGA), and endomysial antibodies (EMA). All patients with a positive IgA AGA, EMA, or only IgG AGA in the presence of IgA deficiency had a small bowel biopsy. There were 12 cases of CD (12/978), a prevalence of 1.2% for the whole cohort. The prevalence of CD was 0.7% (2/304) for those with a normal BMD, 1.2% (5/431) for patients with osteopenia, and 2.1% (5/243) for patients with osteoporosis. Direct questioning revealed that all patients with unrecognized CD had subtle gastrointestinal symptoms or a history of anemia. Excluding patients without these symptoms would give a prevalence of 3.9% for osteoporosis (5/127) and 2.6% for osteopenia (5/191 ). This study suggests that there is no value of unselected case-finding for CD in patients with a reduced BMD. However, a targeted case-finding approach may be more valid and cost-effective with the initial selection of patients who should be investigated for CD based on questioning about gastrointestinal symptoms or anemia.
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Article A family history of fracture and fracture risk: a meta-analysis. 2004
Kanis JA, Johansson H, Oden A, Johnell O, De Laet C, Eisman JA, McCloskey EV, Mellstrom D, Melton LJ, Pols HA, Reeve J, Silman AJ, Tenenhouse A. · Centre for Metabolic Bone Diseases (WHO Collaborating Centre), University of Sheffield Medical School, Sheffield, UK. · Bone. · Pubmed #15542027 No free full text.
Abstract: The aims of the present study were to determine whether a parental history of any fracture or hip fracture specifically are significant risk factors for future fracture in an international setting, and to explore the effects of age, sex and bone mineral density (BMD) on this risk. We studied 34,928 men and women from seven prospectively studied cohorts followed for 134,374 person-years. The cohorts comprised the EPOS/EVOS study, CaMos, the Rotterdam Study, DOES and cohorts at Sheffield, Rochester and Gothenburg. The effect of family history of osteoporotic fracture or of hip fracture in first-degree relatives, BMD and age on all clinical fracture, osteoporotic fracture and hip fracture risk alone was examined using Poisson regression in each cohort and for each sex. The results of the different studies were merged from the weighted beta coefficients. A parental history of fracture was associated with a modest but significantly increased risk of any fracture, osteoporotic fracture and hip fracture in men and women combined. The risk ratio (RR) for any fracture was 1.17 (95% CI=1.07-1.28), for any osteoporotic fracture was 1.18 (95% CI=1.06-1.31), and for hip fracture was 1.49 (95% CI=1.17-1.89). The risk ratio was higher at younger ages but not significantly so. No significant difference in risk was seen between men and women with a parental history for any fracture (RR=1.17 and 1.17, respectively) or for an osteoporotic fracture (RR=1.17 and 1.18, respectively). For hip fracture, the risk ratios were somewhat higher, but not significantly higher, in men than in women (RR=2.02 and 1.38, respectively). A family history of hip fracture in parents was associated with a significant risk both of all osteoporotic fracture (RR 1.54; 95CI=1.25-1.88) and of hip fracture (RR=2.27; 95% CI=1.47-3.49). The risk was not significantly changed when BMD was added to the model. We conclude that a parental history of fracture (particularly a family history of hip fracture) confers an increased risk of fracture that is independent of BMD. Its identification on an international basis supports the use of this risk factor in case-finding strategies.
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Article A meta-analysis of previous fracture and subsequent fracture risk. 2004
Kanis JA, Johnell O, De Laet C, Johansson H, Oden A, Delmas P, Eisman J, Fujiwara S, Garnero P, Kroger H, McCloskey EV, Mellstrom D, Melton LJ, Pols H, Reeve J, Silman A, Tenenhouse A. · WHO Collaborating Centre for Metabolic Bone Diseases, University of Sheffield Medical School, Sheffield, UK. · Bone. · Pubmed #15268886 No free full text.
Abstract: Previous fracture is a well-documented risk factor for future fracture. The aim of this study was to quantify this risk on an international basis and to explore the relationship of this risk with age, sex, and bone mineral density (BMD). We studied 15259 men and 44902 women from 11 cohorts comprising EVOS/EPOS, OFELY, CaMos, Rochester, Sheffield, Rotterdam, Kuopio, DOES, Hiroshima, and two cohorts from Gothenburg. Cohorts were followed for a total of 250000 person-years. The effect of a prior history of fracture on the risk of any fracture, any osteoporotic fracture, and hip fracture alone was examined using a Poisson model for each sex from each cohort. Covariates examined were age, sex, and BMD. The results of the different studies were merged by using the weighted beta-coefficients. A previous fracture history was associated with a significantly increased risk of any fracture compared with individuals without a prior fracture (RR = 1.86; 95% CI = 1.75-1.98). The risk ratio was similar for the outcome of osteoporotic fracture or for hip fracture. There was no significant difference in risk ratio between men and women. Risk ratio (RR) was marginally downward adjusted when account was taken of BMD. Low BMD explained a minority of the risk for any fracture (8%) and for hip fracture (22%). The risk ratio was stable with age except in the case of hip fracture outcome where the risk ratio decreased significantly with age. We conclude that previous history of fracture confers an increased risk of fracture of substantial importance beyond that explained by measurement of BMD. Its validation on an international basis permits the use of this risk factor in case finding strategies.
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Article Smoking and fracture risk: a meta-analysis. 2005
Kanis JA, Johnell O, Oden A, Johansson H, De Laet C, Eisman JA, Fujiwara S, Kroger H, McCloskey EV, Mellstrom D, Melton LJ, Pols H, Reeve J, Silman A, Tenenhouse A. · WHO Collaborating Centre for Metabolic Bone Diseases, University of Sheffield Medical School, Beech Hill Road, Sheffield, S10 2RX, UK. <> · Osteoporos Int. · Pubmed #15175845 No free full text.
Abstract: Smoking is widely considered a risk factor for future fracture. The aim of this study was to quantify this risk on an international basis and to explore the relationship of this risk with age, sex and bone mineral density (BMD). We studied 59,232 men and women (74% female) from ten prospective cohorts comprising EVOS/EPOS, DOES, CaMos, Rochester, Sheffield, Rotterdam, Kuopio, Hiroshima and two cohorts from Gothenburg. Cohorts were followed for a total of 250,000 person-years. The effect of current or past smoking, on the risk of any fracture, any osteoporotic fracture and hip fracture alone was examined using a Poisson model for each sex from each cohort. Covariates examined were age, sex and BMD. The results of the different studies were merged using the weighted beta-coefficients. Current smoking was associated with a significantly increased risk of any fracture compared to non-smokers (RR=1.25; 95% Confidence Interval (CI)=1.15-1.36). Risk ratio (RR) was adjusted marginally downward when account was taken of BMD, but it remained significantly increased (RR=1.13). For an osteoporotic fracture, the risk was marginally higher (RR=1.29; 95% CI=1.13-1.28). The highest risk was observed for hip fracture (RR=1.84; 95% CI=1.52-2.22), but this was also somewhat lower after adjustment for BMD (RR=1.60; 95% CI=1.27-2.02). Risk ratios were significantly higher in men than in women for all fractures and for osteoporotic fractures, but not for hip fracture. Low BMD accounted for only 23% of the smoking-related risk of hip fracture. Adjustment for body mass index had a small downward effect on risk for all fracture outcomes. For osteoporotic fracture, the risk ratio increased with age, but decreased with age for hip fracture. A smoking history was associated with a significantly increased risk of fracture compared with individuals with no smoking history, but the risk ratios were lower than for current smoking. We conclude that a history of smoking results in fracture risk that is substantially greater than that explained by measurement of BMD. Its validation on an international basis permits the use of this risk factor in case finding strategies.
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