Hypertension: Dontas A

Menotti A, Lanti M, Kafatos A, Nissinen A, Dontas A, Nedeljkovic S, Kromhout D, Anonymous00342. · Association for Cardiac Research--Associazione per la Ricerca Cardiologica--Rome, Italy. · J Hypertens. · Pubmed #15311095 No free full text.

Abstract: OBJECTIVE: The first objective was to study the long-term association of a casual measurement of systolic blood pressure (SBP) with cardiovascular deaths (CVD) and all causes of death (ALL) occurring during 35 years of follow-up in different population samples of men aged 40-59 years in five European countries. The second objective was to study the predictive power of early change in SBP levels (years 0-10) in relation to late fatal events (years 10-35). DESIGN, SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: A single measurement of SBP was considered in cohorts in Finland, The Netherlands, Italy, Serbia and Greece for a total of 6507 men. Three partitioned proportional hazards models were solved, one for each independent and subsequent time block of 10 years, after excluding data from the first 5 years, to predict the risk of cardiovascular disease deaths of atherosclerotic origin (CVD) and all cause mortality (ALL). Independently, the predictive power of SBP changes (Delta-SBP) occurred during the first 10 years of follow-up was explored as a possible additional risk factor in relation to CVD and ALL deaths occurring between year 10 and year 35 of follow-up. RESULTS: Partitioned hazard scores derived from the three partitioned functions were cumulated. The resulting curves showed a continuous and significant association of baseline SBP with CVD and ALL deaths during three decades, although the strength of association declined significantly from the first to the third decade. The relative risk for 20 mmHg of SBP (and its 95% confidence intervals) in predicting CVD deaths was 1.65 (1.54-1.77) for the first 10-year block; 1.33 (1.24-1.42) for the second block; and 1.22 (1.13-1.31) for the last 10-year block. The corresponding levels of ALL deaths were 1.41 (1.34-1.49), 1.26 (1.19-1.32) and 1.11 (1.05-1.17). Changes in SBP during 10 years (Delta-SBP) added predictive power to baseline measurements in a direct and significant way, with a relative risk for a change of 10 mmHg of 1.14 (1.10-1.17) for CVD deaths and 1.11 (1.09-1.13) for ALL deaths. CONCLUSION: A single measurement of systolic blood pressure in middle-aged men maintains a strong relationship with fatal CVD and ALL deaths during the next 35 years, although for late events the strength of the association definitely declines. Changes in systolic blood pressure levels during the first 10 years of follow-up add predictive power, while baseline measurements retain their predictive power.

Panagiotakos DB, Kromhout D, Menotti A, Chrysohoou C, Dontas A, Pitsavos C, Adachi H, Blackburn H, Nedeljkovic S, Nissinen A. · Department of Dietetics and Nutrition, Harokopio University, Athens, Greece. · Arch Intern Med. · Pubmed #16217005 links to  free full text

Abstract: BACKGROUND: Hypertension is a dominant characteristic in the prediction of cardiovascular diseases (CVDs). We aimed to evaluate the association of blood pressure measurements with CVD mortality among different populations of the world. METHODS: A total of 12 763 men, aged 40 to 59 years, from 7 countries (United States, Japan, Italy, Greece, former Yugoslavia, Finland, and the Netherlands) were surveyed from 1958 to 1964. Follow-up for vital status and causes of death was carried out over 25 years. RESULTS: All baseline blood pressure measurements were the best predictors of CVD mortality, compared with age, physical activity, total serum cholesterol level, body mass index or height, and smoking. Moreover, pulse pressure and diastolic and systolic blood pressures were the best predictors for CVD death, followed by mean and mid blood pressures. The age-adjusted hazard ratio per 10-mm Hg increase in pulse pressure varied among cohorts from 1.19 in the United States (P = .04) to 1.29 in southern Europe (P = .01). Differences among cohorts were not significant. In the pooled cohorts, pulse pressure measurements were also a significant predictor for coronary heart disease (hazard ratio per 10-mm Hg increase, 1.15; P = .04) as well as stroke death (hazard ratio per 10-mm Hg increase, 1.32; P = .01). CONCLUSIONS: Pulse pressure followed by diastolic and systolic blood pressures were the best predictors for CVD mortality among other blood pressures, as well as age, physical activity, total serum cholesterol level, anthropometric indexes, and smoking habits. No significant differences were observed among the different populations studied.