Alzheimer Disease: Ferris S

Weintraub S, Salmon D, Mercaldo N, Ferris S, Graff-Radford NR, Chui H, Cummings J, DeCarli C, Foster NL, Galasko D, Peskind E, Dietrich W, Beekly DL, Kukull WA, Morris JC. · Cognitive Neurology and Alzheimer's Disease Center, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, 320 E. Superior, Searle 11-467, Chicago, IL 60611, USA. · Alzheimer Dis Assoc Disord. · Pubmed #19474567 No free full text.

Abstract: The neuropsychologic test battery from the Uniform Data Set (UDS) of the Alzheimer's Disease Centers (ADC) program of the National Institute on Aging consists of brief measures of attention, processing speed, executive function, episodic memory, and language. This paper describes development of the battery and preliminary data from the initial UDS evaluation of 3268 clinically cognitively normal men and women collected over the first 24 months of utilization. The subjects represent a sample of community-dwelling, individuals who volunteer for studies of cognitive aging. Subjects were considered "clinically cognitively normal" based on clinical assessment, including the Clinical Dementia Rating scale and the Functional Assessment Questionnaire. The results demonstrate performance on tests sensitive to cognitive aging and to the early stages of Alzheimer disease in a relatively well-educated sample. Regression models investigating the impact of age, education, and sex on test scores indicate that these variables will need to be incorporated in subsequent normative studies. Future plans include: (1) determining the psychometric properties of the battery; (2) establishing normative data, including norms for different ethnic minority groups; and (3) conducting longitudinal studies on cognitively normal subjects, individuals with mild cognitive impairment, and individuals with Alzheimer disease and other forms of dementia.

Carrillo MC, Blackwell A, Hampel H, Lindborg J, Sperling R, Schenk D, Sevigny JJ, Ferris S, Bennett DA, Craft S, Hsu T, Klunk W. · Alzheimer's Association, Chicago, IL, USA. · Alzheimers Dement. · Pubmed #19328456 No free full text.

Abstract: The purpose of the Alzheimer's Association Research Roundtable meeting was to discuss the potential of finding diagnostic tools to determine the earliest risk factors for Alzheimer's disease (AD). Currently, drugs approved for AD address symptoms which are generally manifest after the disease is already well-established, but there is a growing pipeline of drugs that may alter the underlying pathology and therefore slow or halt progression of the disease. As these drugs become available, it will become increasingly imperative that those at risk for AD be detected and possibly treated early, especially given recent indications that the disease process may start decades before the first clinical symptoms are recognized. Early detection must go hand-in-hand with qualified tools to determine the efficacy of drugs in people who may be asymptomatic or who have only very mild symptoms of the disease. Devising strategies and screening tools to identify and monitor those at risk in order to perform "prevention" trials is seen by many as a top public-health priority, made all the more urgent by an impending growth in the elderly population worldwide.

Schmitt FA, Cragar D, Ashford JW, Reisberg B, Ferris S, Möbius HJ, Stöffler A. · Sanders-Brown Center on Aging, Department of Psychiatry, University of Kentucky Medical Center, Lexington, KY 40536-0230, USA. · J Neural Transm Suppl. · Pubmed #12456059 No free full text.

Abstract: Measurement of cognitive dysfunction and treatment response in the early stages of Alzheimer's disease (AD) has used such scales as the Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) and the AD Assessment Scale (ADAS). With the exception of clinical rating scales, however, there are only a few objective measures of cognition for tracking progression in advanced AD. Given renewed interest in potential therapies for advanced AD, objective measures of cognition are important for the adequate evaluation of change due to AD progression or therapy. Several cognitive measures for advanced AD are reviewed. One measure, the Severe Impairment Battery (SIB) is reviewed in detail. Preliminary analyses from a trial of memantine show significant change on the SIB in memory (p < 0.001) and visuospatial functions (p < 0.02) over six-months with a trend for language and praxis. Data from a donepezil trial also highlight the importance of accurate assessment in advanced AD.

Gauthier S, Ferris S. · McGill Centre for Studies in Aging, Verdun, Quebec, Canada. · Int J Clin Pract Suppl. · Pubmed #11406924 No free full text.

Abstract: Vascular dementia (VaD) can be defined as dementia associated with cerebrovascular disease (CVD), and accounts for a large proportion of all dementia cases. There is substantial overlap in the clinical symptomatology, pathophysiology and neurochemical mechanisms in VaD compared with Alzheimer's disease, suggesting that an effective treatment for Alzheimer's disease may also offer benefit as a symptomatic treatment in VaD. However, there are currently no explicit guidelines for conducting clinical pharmacotherapy trials in VaD patients. Two important requirements for assessing therapeutic benefits in such trials are 1) the inclusion of appropriate patients and 2) the use of appropriate outcome measures. Debate on the precise definition of VaD in relation to patient selection criteria continues, but many of the recommendations for outcome measures in Alzheimer's disease are already applicable to VaD. There is consensus that cognitive and global function measures, and assessments of abilities to perform activities of daily living (ADL) must be included as part of the optimal assessment battery in VaD trials. A measure of reduced behavioural symptoms with associated reductions in demands on caregivers would also be desirable. However, care must be taken in extrapolating Alzheimer's disease-specific evaluations to VaD, in that important differences in specific domains affected and characteristics of disease course must be taken into account. Between them, measures such as the Alzheimer's Disease Assessment Scale-cognitive subscale (ADAS-cog; perhaps with supplemental tests of attention and other frontal lobe functions), evaluations of clinical global impression of change and a functional assessment addressing instrumental as well as basic ADL, e.g. Disability Assessment in Dementia (DAD) scale, should provide a good overall description of VaD-related deficits and sufficient appraisal of treatment effects. The Neuropsychiatric Inventory has also been shown to have good potential utility for measuring behavioural alterations in VaD. These and other assessments are reviewed to provide a balanced and realistic view of the type of treatment outcomes that can be expected in VaD pharmacotherapy trials, and to address the best ways of measuring these outcomes.

Feldman HH, Ferris S, Winblad B, Sfikas N, Mancione L, He Y, Tekin S, Burns A, Cummings J, del Ser T, Inzitari D, Orgogozo JM, Sauer H, Scheltens P, Scarpini E, Herrmann N, Farlow M, Potkin S, Charles HC, Fox NC, Lane R. · Division of Neurology, University of British Columbia Hospital, Vancouver, Canada. · Lancet Neurol. · Pubmed #17509485 No free full text.

Abstract: OBJECTIVE: To assess the effect of rivastigmine in patients with mild cognitive impairment (MCI) on the time to clinical diagnosis of Alzheimer's disease (AD) and the rate of cognitive decline. METHODS: The study was a double-blind, randomised, placebo-controlled trial of up to 48 months. All patients had MCI operationally defined by having cognitive symptoms, a global clinical dementia rating stage of 0.5, a score of less than 9 on the New York University delayed paragraph recall test, and by not meeting the diagnostic criteria for AD. Primary efficacy variables were time to clinical diagnosis of AD, and change in performance on a cognitive test battery. This study is registered with the US National Institutes of Health clinical trials database (ClinicalTrials.gov), number NCT00000174. FINDINGS: Of 1018 study patients enrolled, 508 were randomly assigned to rivastigmine and 510 to placebo; 17.3% of patients on rivastigmine and 21.4% on placebo progressed to AD (hazard ratio 0.85 [95% CI 0.64-1.12]; p=0.225). There was no significant difference between the rivastigmine and placebo groups on the standardised Z score for the cognitive test battery measured as mean change from baseline to endpoint (-0.10 [95% CI -0.63 to 0.44], p=0.726). Serious adverse events were reported by 141 (27.9%) rivastigmine-treated patients and 155 (30.5%) patients on placebo; adverse events of all types were reported by 483 (95.6%) rivastigmine-treated patients and 472 (92.7%) placebo-treated patients. The predominant adverse events were cholinergic: the frequencies of nausea, vomiting, diarrhoea, and dizziness were two to four times higher in the rivastigmine group than in the placebo group. INTERPRETATION: There was no significant benefit of rivastigmine on the progression rate to AD or on cognitive function over 4 years. The overall rate of progression from MCI to AD in this randomised clinical trial was much lower than predicted. Rivastigmine treatment was not associated with any significant safety concerns.

Petersen RC, Thomas RG, Grundman M, Bennett D, Doody R, Ferris S, Galasko D, Jin S, Kaye J, Levey A, Pfeiffer E, Sano M, van Dyck CH, Thal LJ, Anonymous00379. · Mayo Clinic College of Medicine, Rochester, Minn, USA. · N Engl J Med. · Pubmed #15829527 links to  free full text

Abstract: BACKGROUND: Mild cognitive impairment is a transitional state between the cognitive changes of normal aging and early Alzheimer's disease. METHODS: In a double-blind study, we evaluated subjects with the amnestic subtype of mild cognitive impairment. Subjects were randomly assigned to receive 2000 IU of vitamin E daily, 10 mg of donepezil daily, or placebo for three years. The primary outcome was clinically possible or probable Alzheimer's disease; secondary outcomes were cognition and function. RESULTS: A total of 769 subjects were enrolled, and possible or probable Alzheimer's disease developed in 212. The overall rate of progression from mild cognitive impairment to Alzheimer's disease was 16 percent per year. As compared with the placebo group, there were no significant differences in the probability of progression to Alzheimer's disease in the vitamin E group (hazard ratio, 1.02; 95 percent confidence interval, 0.74 to 1.41; P=0.91) or the donepezil group (hazard ratio, 0.80; 95 percent confidence interval, 0.57 to 1.13; P=0.42) during the three years of treatment. Prespecified analyses of the treatment effects at 6-month intervals showed that as compared with the placebo group, the donepezil group had a reduced likelihood of progression to Alzheimer's disease during the first 12 months of the study (P=0.04), a finding supported by the secondary outcome measures. Among carriers of one or more apolipoprotein E epsilon4 alleles, the benefit of donepezil was evident throughout the three-year follow-up. There were no significant differences in the rate of progression to Alzheimer's disease between the vitamin E and placebo groups at any point, either among all patients or among apolipoprotein E epsilon4 carriers. CONCLUSIONS: Vitamin E had no benefit in patients with mild cognitive impairment. Although donepezil therapy was associated with a lower rate of progression to Alzheimer's disease during the first 12 months of treatment, the rate of progression to Alzheimer's disease after three years was not lower among patients treated with donepezil than among those given placebo.

Salloway S, Ferris S, Kluger A, Goldman R, Griesing T, Kumar D, Richardson S, Anonymous00083. · Department of Clinical Neurosciences, Brown University, Providence, RI, USA. · Neurology. · Pubmed #15326237 No free full text.

Abstract: OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the efficacy and safety of the acetylcholinesterase inhibitor donepezil in a placebo-controlled trial in patients with mild cognitive impairment (MCI). METHODS: A total of 270 patients with MCI were enrolled in a 24-week, multicenter, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled study. Patients were randomized to receive donepezil (n = 133; 5 mg/day for 42 days, followed by forced dose escalation to 10 mg/day) or placebo (n = 137). Primary efficacy measures were the New York University (NYU) Paragraph Delayed Recall test and the Alzheimer disease (AD) Cooperative Study Clinician's Global Impression of Change for MCI (ADCS CGIC-MCI). Secondary efficacy measures included the modified AD Assessment Scale-cognitive subscale (ADAS-cog), the Patient Global Assessment (PGA), and additional neuropsychologic measures. Efficacy analyses were performed on intent-to-treat (ITT) and fully evaluable (FE) populations. RESULTS: Primary efficacy measures of the NYU Paragraph Recall test and the ADCS CGIC-MCI did not show significant treatment effects in the ITT population. Some secondary measures showed effects favoring donepezil. More donepezil-treated patients showed improvements in ADAS-cog total scores, in tests of attention and psychomotor speed, and in PGA scores. More donepezil-treated than placebo-treated patients experienced adverse events, most of which were mild to moderate and transient. CONCLUSION: Although significant treatment effects were not seen in the primary efficacy measures, outcomes on secondary measures suggest promising directions for further evaluation of donepezil treatment in patients with MCI.

Feldman H, Scheltens P, Scarpini E, Hermann N, Mesenbrink P, Mancione L, Tekin S, Lane R, Ferris S. · Division of Neurology, University of British Columbia, Vancouver Hospital and Health Sciences Center, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada. · Neurology. · Pubmed #15079026 No free full text.

Abstract: The authors investigated neuropsychiatric symptoms in mild cognitive impairment (MCI) from baseline data of the Investigation in the Delay to Diagnosis of AD with Exelon (InDDEx) study (n = 1,010). Neuropsychiatric symptoms were reported in 59% of subjects (Neuropsychiatric Inventory [NPI]). NPI+ subjects had significantly greater impairment on global, cognitive, and functional scores than NPI- subjects. The presence of neuropsychiatric symptoms appears to be a marker of MCI severity.

Reisberg B, Doody R, Stöffler A, Schmitt F, Ferris S, Möbius HJ, Anonymous00196. · Department of Psychiatry, New York University School of Medicine, New York 10016, USA. · N Engl J Med. · Pubmed #12672860 links to  free full text

Abstract: BACKGROUND: Overstimulation of the N-methyl-D-aspartate (NMDA) receptor by glutamate is implicated in neurodegenerative disorders. Accordingly, we investigated memantine, an NMDA antagonist, for the treatment of Alzheimer's disease. METHODS: Patients with moderate-to-severe Alzheimer's disease were randomly assigned to receive placebo or 20 mg of memantine daily for 28 weeks. The primary efficacy variables were the Clinician's Interview-Based Impression of Change Plus Caregiver Input (CIBIC-Plus) and the Alzheimer's Disease Cooperative Study Activities of Daily Living Inventory modified for severe dementia (ADCS-ADLsev). The secondary efficacy end points included the Severe Impairment Battery and other measures of cognition, function, and behavior. Treatment differences between base line and the end point were assessed. Missing observations were imputed by using the most recent previous observation (the last observation carried forward). The results were also analyzed with only the observed values included, without replacing the missing values (observed-cases analysis). RESULTS: Two hundred fifty-two patients (67 percent women; mean age, 76 years) from 32 U.S. centers were enrolled. Of these, 181 (72 percent) completed the study and were evaluated at week 28. Seventy-one patients discontinued treatment prematurely (42 taking placebo and 29 taking memantine). Patients receiving memantine had a better outcome than those receiving placebo, according to the results of the CIBIC-Plus (P=0.06 with the last observation carried forward, P=0.03 for observed cases), the ADCS-ADLsev (P=0.02 with the last observation carried forward, P=0.003 for observed cases), and the Severe Impairment Battery (P<0.001 with the last observation carried forward, P=0.002 for observed cases). Memantine was not associated with a significant frequency of adverse events. CONCLUSIONS: Antiglutamatergic treatment reduced clinical deterioration in moderate-to-severe Alzheimer's disease, a phase associated with distress for patients and burden on caregivers, for which other treatments are not available.

Pomara N, Doraiswamy PM, Tun H, Ferris S. · Department of Psychiatry, New York University School of Medicine, USA. · Neurology. · Pubmed #12011303 No free full text.

This publication has no abstract.

Khachaturian ZS, Snyder PJ, Doody R, Aisen P, Comer M, Dwyer J, Frank RA, Holzapfel A, Khachaturian AS, Korczyn AD, Roses A, Simpkins JW, Schneider LS, Albert MS, Egge R, Deves A, Ferris S, Greenberg BD, Johnson C, Kukull WA, Poirier J, Schenk D, Thies W, Gauthier S, Gilman S, Bernick C, Cummings JL, Fillit H, Grundman M, Kaye J, Mucke L, Reisberg B, Sano M, Pickeral O, Petersen RC, Mohs RC, Carrillo M, Corey-Bloom JP, Foster NL, Jacobsen S, Lee V, Potter WZ, Sabbagh MN, Salmon D, Trojanowski JQ, Wexler N, Bain LJ. · Lou Ruvo Brain Institute, Las Vegas, NV 89106, USA. · Alzheimers Dement. · Pubmed #19328434 No free full text.

Abstract: This document proposes an array of recommendations for a National Plan of Action to accelerate the discovery and development of therapies to delay or prevent the onset of disabling symptoms of Alzheimer's disease. A number of key scientific and public-policy needs identified in this document will be incorporated by the Alzheimer Study Group into a broader National Alzheimer's Strategic Plan, which will be presented to the 111th Congress and the Obama administration in March 2009. The Alzheimer's Strategic Plan is expected to include additional recommendations for governance, family support, healthcare, and delivery of social services.

Myers CE, Kluger A, Golomb J, Gluck MA, Ferris S. · Department of Psychology, Rutgers University. · J Geriatr Psychiatry Neurol. · Pubmed #18474718 No free full text.

Abstract: This study examines whether behavioral measures obtained in nondemented elderly can predict cognitive status at 2-year follow-up. Prior studies have established that delayed paragraph recall can help predict short-term risk for decline to mild cognitive impairment and Alzheimer disease. It was examined whether prediction accuracy can be improved by adding a discrimination-and-generalization task that has previously been shown to be disrupted in nondemented elderly with hippocampal atrophy, a risk factor for Alzheimer disease. Fifty nondemented, medically healthy elderly patients received baseline clinical diagnosis and cognitive testing; 2 years later, patients received a follow-up clinical diagnosis of normal, mild cognitive impairment, or probable Alzheimer disease. In all, 2 baseline variables, delayed paragraph recall and generalization performance, were predictive of follow-up outcome with sensitivity of 81% and specificity of 91%-better than the classification accuracy based on either of these measures alone. These preliminary results suggest that these behavioral tasks may be useful tools in predicting short-term cognitive outcome in nondemented elderly.

Morris JC, Weintraub S, Chui HC, Cummings J, Decarli C, Ferris S, Foster NL, Galasko D, Graff-Radford N, Peskind ER, Beekly D, Ramos EM, Kukull WA. · Washington University, St. Louis, MO 63108, USA. · Alzheimer Dis Assoc Disord. · Pubmed #17132964 No free full text.

Abstract: A Clinical Task Force, composed of clinical leaders from Alzheimer's Disease Centers (ADC), was convened by the National Institute on Aging to develop a uniform set of assessment procedures to characterize individuals with mild Alzheimer disease and mild cognitive impairment in comparison with nondemented aging. The resulting Uniform Data Set (UDS) defines a common set of clinical observations to be collected longitudinally on ADC participants in accordance with standard methods. The UDS was implemented at all ADCs on September 1, 2005. Data obtained with the UDS are submitted to the National Alzheimer's Coordinating Center and represent a unique and valuable source of data to support and stimulate collaborative research.

Ferris S, Schneider L, Farmer M, Kay G, Crook T. · Alzheimer's Disease Center, Silberstein Institute, New York University School of Medicine, New York, NY 10016, USA. · Int J Geriatr Psychiatry. · Pubmed #17117395 No free full text.

Abstract: OBJECTIVES: To determine the safety and efficacy of memantine in treating Age-Associated Memory Impairment (AAMI). METHODS: Sixty adults between 50-79 years of age meeting diagnostic requirements for AAMI were randomly assigned to either memantine (titrated to 20 mg) or a matched placebo and treated for 90 days. An extensive battery of computerized cognitive tests was administered at screening, baseline and, thereafter, at monthly intervals. RESULTS AND CONCLUSION: Study results suggest that the primary cognitive effects of memantine in this population are on attention and information processing speed, rather than on memory. There were no differences in adverse events between memantine and placebo.

Pomara N, Hernando RT, de la Pena CB, Sidtis JJ, Cooper TB, Ferris S. · Geriatric Psychiatry Division, Nathan S. Kline Institute for Psychiatric Research, 140 Old Orangeburg Road, Bldg. 35, Orangeburg, NY 10962, USA. · Neurochem Res. · Pubmed #16770728 No free full text.

Abstract: The glucocorticoid receptor (GR) antagonist mifepristone (RU-486) has been reported to increase early morning plasma ACTH/cortisol in diverse non-demented populations. This pilot study examined the cortisol response to RU 486 in patients with Alzheimer's disease (AD), a condition associated with abnormalities in various aspects of the hypothalamic-pituitary-adrenal (HPA) axis. Nine AD subjects were randomized in a placebo-controlled parallel study: 4 in the placebo group and 5 in the RU 486 group. Subjects received oral doses of RU 486 (200 mg) or placebo daily for 6-weeks. Morning plasma cortisol was determined at baseline, at 12 h following the first study drug dose, and weekly thereafter. RU 486 resulted in a significant increase in cortisol levels [F(1,6)=65.32; P<0.001]. The magnitude of this increase grew over the course of the study [F(1,6)=63.17; P<0.001], was not related to cortisol suppression after dexamethasone and appeared greater than that reported in the literature in younger populations in response to the same drug regimen. However, further studies with age-matched controls should be done to determine possible AD related changes in this response.

Reisberg B, Doody R, Stöffler A, Schmitt F, Ferris S, Möbius HJ. · Department of Psychiatry, New York University School of Medicine, New York, NY 10016, USA. · Arch Neurol. · Pubmed #16401736 links to  free full text

Abstract: BACKGROUND: This study is an extension of a 28-week, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled study of memantine in 252 patients with moderate to severe Alzheimer disease. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate long-term memantine treatment in moderate to severe Alzheimer disease. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PATIENTS: Open-label, 24-week extension trial. Raters remained blind to the patients' initial study treatment. Patients (n = 175) were enrolled from the previous double-blind study in an outpatient setting. INTERVENTION: Twenty mg of memantine was given daily. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Efficacy assessments from the double-blind study were continued and safety parameters were monitored. RESULTS: Patients who switched to memantine treatment from their previous placebo therapy experienced a significant benefit in all main efficacy assessments (functional, global, and cognitive) relative to their mean rate of decline with placebo treatment during the double-blind period (P<.05). The completion rate for the extension phase of the study was high (78%) and the favorable adverse event profile for memantine therapy was similar to that seen in the double-blind study. CONCLUSION: These results extend previous findings that demonstrated the efficacy and safety of memantine in the treatment of patients with moderate to severe Alzheimer disease.

Clark CM, DeCarli C, Mungas D, Chui HI, Higdon R, Nuñez J, Fernandez H, Negrón M, Manly J, Ferris S, Perez A, Torres M, Ewbank D, Glosser G, van Belle G. · Department of Neurology, Alzheimer's Disease Center, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia 19104, USA. · Arch Neurol. · Pubmed #15883265 links to  free full text

Abstract: BACKGROUND: Latino individuals are the largest minority group and the fastest growing population group in the United States, yet there are few studies comparing the clinical features of Alzheimer disease (AD) in this population with those found in Anglo (white non-Latino) patients. OBJECTIVE: To compare the age at AD symptom onset in Latino and Anglo individuals. DESIGN: Cross-sectional assessment using standardized methods to collect and compare age at AD symptom onset, demographic variables, and medical variables. SETTING: Five National Institute on Aging-sponsored Alzheimer's Disease Centers with experience evaluating Spanish-speaking individuals. PATIENTS: We evaluated 119 Latino and 55 Anglo patients who had a diagnosis of AD. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Age at symptom onset. RESULTS: After adjusting for center, sex, and years of education, Latino patients had a mean age at symptom onset 6.8 years earlier (95% confidence interval, 3.5-10.3 years earlier) than Anglo patients. CONCLUSIONS: An earlier age at symptom onset suggests that US mainland Latino individuals may experience an increased burden of AD compared with Anglo individuals. The basis for the younger age at symptom onset remains obscure.

Yesavage JA, O'Hara R, Kraemer H, Noda A, Taylor JL, Ferris S, Gély-Nargeot MC, Rosen A, Friedman L, Sheikh J, Derouesné C. · Palo Alto Veterans Affairs Health Care System, 3801 Miranda Avenue, MC 151Y, Palo Alto, CA 94304, USA. · J Psychiatr Res. · Pubmed #12127595 No free full text.

Abstract: A number of systems have been proposed for classifying older adults who suffer from cognitive impairment or decline but do not yet meet criteria for Alzheimer's disease (AD). The classification, Mild Cognitive Impairment (MCI), has attracted much attention. It uses relatively specific diagnostic criteria and individuals who meet these criteria appear to be at substantial risk for the development of AD. However, little data is available to define the prevalence of MCI in any age group. We propose a simple mathematical model for the progression of patients from Non-Affected (NA) to MCI to AD. This first-order Markov model defines the likely prevalence of MCI at specific ages. Primary assumptions of the model include an AD prevalence of 1% at age 60 increasing to 25% at age 85 and a conversion rate from MCI to AD of 10% constant across all ages considered. We used the best available information for our model and found (1) that the MCI prevalence increased from 1% at age 60 to 42% at age 85 and (2) that the conversion rate from NA to MCI increased from 1% per year at age 60 to 11% at age 85. In conclusion, this model allows estimation of prevalence of MCI and conversion from NA to MCI based upon known prevalences of AD, conversion rates of MCI to AD, and death rates. Due to its substantial prevalence, MCI may be an important target for screening and possible intervention.