Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome: Self SG

Berrey MM, Schacker T, Collier AC, Shea T, Brodie SJ, Mayers D, Coombs R, Krieger J, Chun TW, Fauci A, Self SG, Corey L. · Department of Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA. · J Infect Dis. · Pubmed #11319682 No free full text.

Abstract: Immunologic data supporting immediate antiretroviral therapy in primary human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) infection are emerging; however, clinical benefit has not been demonstrated. The clinical and virologic course of 47 patients who were enrolled from September 1993 through June 1996 and who were not initially treated with potent therapy was compared with the course of 20 patients who immediately began therapy with zidovudine, lamivudine, and indinavir. Demographic and baseline laboratory data were comparable. During 78 weeks of follow-up, the early-treatment cohort showed a reduced frequency of opportunistic infections (5% vs. 21.3%; relative risk, 0.11; P=.02), less frequent progression to AIDS (13% vs. 0%), and significantly less frequent nonopportunistic mucocutaneous disorders and respiratory infections (P<.01). Plasma HIV-1 RNA levels were <50 copies/mL in all patients who continued therapy; however, after 9--12 months, HIV-1 remained detectable in latently infected CD4(+) T cells and in lymph node mononuclear cells. Combination antiretroviral therapy during primary HIV-1 infection demonstrated a decreased frequency of minor opportunistic infections, mucocutaneous disorders, and respiratory infections and reduced progression to AIDS.

Wick D, Self SG. · Statistical Center for HIV and AIDS Research and Prevention, MW-500, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, 1124 Columbia St. Seattle, WA, 98104-2092, U.S.A. · J Theor Biol. · Pubmed #12392972 No free full text.

Abstract: That HIV-specific cytotoxic T-lymphocytes (CTLs) might be defective in some way has stimulated much controversy and research. We use mathematical models to explore the predictions of two competing CTL-defect theories: "defective memory" and "defective activation". We discuss whether these models are consistent with adoptive-transfer experiments in HIV-infected patients and vaccine trials in simian immunodeficiency virus (SIV)-infected monkeys. Finally, we describe experimental tests that could decide among these two theories and a competitor: CTL exhaustion.

Wick D, Self SG. · Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, MW-500, P.O. Box 19024, 1100 Fairview Avenue N, Seatle, WA 98109-1024, USA. · Math Biosci. · Pubmed #10854614 No free full text.

Abstract: We propose a stochastic, branching-process model of early events in vivo in human or simian immunodeficiency virus (HIV or SIV) infection and study the influence that the time of appearance of virus-specific antibodies or cytotoxic cells, or of administration of antiretroviral drugs, has on the probability of progression to a chronic infection. In some biological scenarios, our model predicts that a few days' delay in response or intervention would make little difference, while in others it would be highly deleterious. We show that prophylactic efficacy does not require perfect efficiency at neutralizing infectious virus. Data from a trial of PMPA, a potent antiretroviral drug, as post-exposure therapy for SIV infection in macaques, reported by C.-C. Tsai, P. Emau, K.E. Follis, T.W. Beck, R. E. Beneveniste, N. Bischofberger, J.D. Lifson, W.R. Morton (J. Virol. 72 (1998) 4265), provides a test of the model. We show that their observations are consistent with a branching-process without invoking supplementary viral- or host-variability. Finally, most animal trials of antiviral drugs or vaccines use very high viral inoculums; our model demonstrates that in such experiments we risk greatly underestimating the efficacy of these agents.